Hi there - as Zagata says, this match presents the challenge of choosing between two sides who are almost equally favoured by the bookmakers. England, however, have a slight advantage according to the odds presented by bookies. Hence I will count the English as favourites. I am running a bit behind with my prediction, which is presented about half an hour into the match, with England 1-0 ahead.
I won't present a detailed analysis of this match, as many of the factors relevant in the previous England match still apply, including the beseiged Venus. However Capricorn rises, being ruled by the natural significator of the underdog Italy. The ascendant is in the bounds of Mercury, setting in the final few minutes of its own sign Gemini. Cancer sets, ruled by the Moon, and the Moon is in the bounds of Venus. The mutual reception by bounds between Venus and Saturn still applies, which seems to ameliorate the impact of the widening opposition between Mars and Saturn. The moon is just about to intervene between Venus and Saturn, temporarily removing the beseigement. Moon applies to Venus.
In my view the Venusian fourth house and the mutual reception between Venus and Saturn by bounds, shows that the favourite (albeit slight favourite) will be difficult to overturn. Hence it seems likely that the English team will prosper on this occasion and become Champions of Europe.
Post match commentary. Italy won this on penalties so they become the champions!
Bookmakers 2, Astrologer 1 (both predictions failed as the underdog won)
I think there are a number of learning points here.
1. I did this prediction very quickly, and didn't give the chart due attention. Mercury on the descendant may have symbolically been a representation of myself, as astrologer, in this circumstance.
2. The bookmakers had the teams evenly matched in terms of odds. Whilst it seems to take a lot of astrological symbolism to support the 'dog winning over a heavy favourite, in a more evenly match game, the reverse is true, and apparently very minor symbolic details may turn the outcome in favour of the 'dog.
3. Dynamic factors - these have not been brought into match analysis in earlier games, but in this match they seem to be decisive. Fundamentally, as ordinary time went on, Saturn was bought closer to the ascendant, and crucially, Mercury changed signs. This occurred at 21:37, probably around the time that ordinary match time expired. There was also a change of sign on the MC/IC axis in the final phase of the match and Gemini, a Mercury ruled sign came onto the fourth house cusp. This occurred at 21:32. According to the realtime text commentary on the Guardian newspaper website, the Italians equalised at around 21:28. The IC then entered the bounds of Mercury signifying a shift in the balance of the game. Mercury also began to approach Jupiter by trine.
4. With Mercury's move into Cancer, it entered the bounds of Mars, and a new mutual reception by bounds was established with Mars, which started and ended the match in the bounds of Mercury. Mars is the natural co-significator of the underdog in this system, so as extra time goes on we have the IC in Gemini, ruled by Mercury, and Mercury in mutual reception with Mars by bounds. Saturn also moved to within a few degrees of the ascendant and was due to rise.
5. The shootout began at 22:45. At this point we have L4 Mercury, and the IC in the bounds of Mars, and L10 Jupiter and the MC in the bounds of Mercury. The bounds of Saturn rise in Aquarius, a Saturn ruled sign, and the bounds of Mars set in Leo. Moon has moved into the bounds of Saturn and is tightly opposing Saturn. In a finely balanced match, these factors look symbolically decisive for Italy.
6. These factors seem to bear out my earlier speculation that extra time and/or penalties may be seen as new contests with new charts. The shootout chart is attached below.
I have also attached the dynamic chart factors analysis that occur within 4 hours of the match. Moon switches bounds at 22:12. Further analysis has shown that it is rare to have planets change sign or bounds during match time. This suggests that any sign or bounds changes must be noted and weighed in any prediction.
So. My conclusions are:
This system may well be, with some practice and refinement, as good as the bookmakers at predicting the outcome of major matches. Where the odds are evenly balanced, a good deal of work has to go into the match analysis to tease out the decisive factors. Where there are significant dynamic changes during the match, such as planets changing sign in real time, the chart will need extensive analysis to re-work the symbolism. Sometimes this will be a major factor in whether a successful prediction is made or not. I think the general outline of the symbolism seems to hold true, meaning that the natural significations and the interpretation of the lords and bound rulers of the angles seem to be key to making a successful prediction.